{"slug":"scenario-planning-platform","name":"Scenario planning platform","category":"Executives and Strategy","customer":"Finance and strategy leads at service businesses","problem":"Plans conceal how outcomes depend on uncertain assumptions.","value":"For finance and strategy leads at service businesses, turn verified baseline data and editable business drivers into scenario model and assumption register. Address the recurring problem: plans conceal how outcomes depend on uncertain assumptions. The value hypothesis is a more complete, reviewable deliverable with less repeated preparation; the pilot must establish whether that benefit is real.","format":"Assumption-driven planning and decision workspace","screens":"Key screens: Driver panel, scenario comparison, assumptions history. Place editable drivers and constraints beside a clearly labeled scenario output. Include a baseline view, comparison chart or schedule, and an assumptions history. Let users trace a proposed quantity or date back to its inputs. Keep forecasts distinct from actual results. In this product, the first view is driver panel, followed by scenario comparison and assumptions history.","functionality":"1. Validate baselines. 2. Expose key drivers. 3. Calculate alternative cases. 4. Explain sensitivities. 5. Record decision thresholds. 6. Track actual outcomes.","workflow":"Validate baseline inputs, confirm definitions and constraints, select editable assumptions, calculate feasible alternatives, inspect sensitivities, let the responsible person approve a plan, and compare later actuals with the recorded assumptions. Start with verified baseline data and editable business drivers and finish with scenario model and assumption register.","ai":"Extract input context and explain scenario differences. Use deterministic calculations or explicit optimization for quantities, compatibility, dates and prices. Show uncertain assumptions. Never let generated prose silently change the calculation rules.","inputs":"Verified baseline data and editable business drivers","deliverables":"Scenario model and assumption register","admin":"Scenario versions, baseline reconciliation, constraint checks, assumption ownership, reviewer approvals, plan exports and actual-versus-plan tracking.","mvp":"Begin with finance and strategy leads at service businesses and one recurring use case. Build the first two modules: validate baselines; expose key drivers. Provide operator assistance for the third module: calculate alternative cases. Deliver scenario model and assumption register through a manual review queue. Perform other necessary full-scope functions manually during the pilot. Include all applicable access, accuracy and professional-review controls from the start.","expansion":"After paid pilots establish value, automate the remaining modules: explain sensitivities; record decision thresholds; track actual outcomes. Add one validated source integration, reusable customer configuration and recurring delivery. Expand to additional teams, document formats or languages only after testing the new scope.","usp":"Transparent driver math combined with readable scenario explanations.","defensibility":"A validated domain model, customer-approved constraints and forecast or decision history that improves practical planning. For this solution, build around transparent driver math combined with readable scenario explanations. This advantage requires execution and accumulated customer trust; the base model alone is not a defensible asset.","alternatives":"Spreadsheets, planners, specialist forecasting tools and existing scheduling or configuration software. Differentiate on this specific proposed advantage: transparent driver math combined with readable scenario explanations. Test it against the buyer's current method on the same task. Competitor coverage and uniqueness have not been established.","revenue":"Test USD 750-3,000 for a scoped planning setup and review, then USD 200-900 monthly for refreshes within agreed complexity. Data integration and optimization are separately scoped. All ranges are hypotheses.","costs":"Data preparation, domain modeling, validation, scenario computation, reviewer support and ongoing assumption maintenance.","integrations":"Internal reports, public company information and decision registers. Read-only operational exports, calendars and finance or inventory records as relevant. Start with plan exports and retain human approval for execution. These are candidate integration categories, not verified supported connectors.","dependencies":"A defensible calculation model, explicit units, constraint validation and representative boundary tests. Advanced forecasting or optimization needs adequate historical data.","pilot":"Reproduce a known historical plan, test missing inputs and boundary constraints, then run a new scenario. Compare feasibility, reconciliation and observed error rather than judging the quality of the explanation alone. For this solution, use verified baseline data and editable business drivers and evaluate scenario model and assumption register. Agree success thresholds with the buyer before starting; collect a baseline for model reconciliation, decision usage. A positive signal is payment and repeat use with acceptable quality and delivery cost, not a favorable demo reaction alone.","plan30":"Week 1: interview five prospective buyers in this segment: finance and strategy leads at service businesses. Ask to see a recent example of the problem and their current process. Week 2: prepare this demonstration using authorized or synthetic material: a three-scenario operating plan walkthrough. Week 3: present it through fractional finance leaders and seek one narrowly scoped paid pilot. Week 4: review model reconciliation, decision usage, total delivery effort and a concrete renewal decision before increasing scope.","metrics":"Model reconciliation, decision usage","channels":"Fractional finance leaders","leadMagnet":"A three-scenario operating plan walkthrough","message":"Scenario planning platform for finance and strategy leads at service businesses. Transparent driver math combined with readable scenario explanations. Demonstrate the claim through a three-scenario operating plan walkthrough.","retention":"Refresh inputs, compare recorded assumptions with actual outcomes and refine validated constraints. Expand scenario complexity only when the buyer uses it for a decision.","controls":"Show source dates and distinguish evidence from strategic assumptions. Keep sensitive company plans restricted to authorized participants. Validate source access and reviewer availability during the pilot. Maintain customer-level access, data deletion controls and a record of final approvals.","crossSector":"Finance; Science and Research","fn":["Validate baselines","Expose key drivers","Calculate alternative cases","Explain sensitivities","Record decision thresholds","Track actual outcomes"],"sc":{"opp":8,"pain":6,"feas":8,"now":8},"phases":[{"name":"MVP","scope":"One buyer segment, one recurring use case; first modules: validate baselines; expose key drivers. Manual review in the loop.","time":{"days":3,"label":"3 days"},"usd":7000},{"name":"Paid pilot","scope":"Accounts, roles, review states, audit trail and the first integration, hardened for two to three paying pilot customers.","time":{"days":4,"label":"4 days"},"usd":7500},{"name":"Full product","scope":"Remaining modules: explain sensitivities; record decision thresholds; track actual outcomes. Self-serve onboarding, billing, monitoring and the wider integration set.","time":{"days":8,"label":"8 days"},"usd":10000}],"running":[{"stage":"MVP and paid pilot","note":"about 3 customers","hosting":[30,60],"ai":[50,100],"total":[80,160]},{"stage":"Full product","note":"about 50 customers","hosting":[110,210],"ai":[350,700],"total":[460,910]}],"total":24500,"complexity":0.27,"days":15,"shot":true,"demo":true}